Weighted average scenario: expert assessed how much longer the war will last and whether Ukrainians will return from abroad

Ideologist Oles Doniy explained that Putin could live to be 100 years old, like Kissinger, so the focus should not be on a quick peace but on demographics, since Ukrainians abroad are assimilating and may not return, Politeka reports.

He spoke about this on the “7 Steps” channel.

“Unlike most experts, I understood that the war would last a very long time. And as a historian with knowledge of Ukrainian migration, I know that most Ukrainians who emigrated from Ukraine never returned. In particular, after World War II there was migration of Ukrainians to Canada and the United States. In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the largest wave came from Austria-Hungary. No one returned from Argentina, and so on. That is, every year spent in other countries means acquiring social ties, language, jobs, raising children, forming new families,” Oles Doniy claims.

At the same time, the program’s guest emphasizes that the Ukrainian state adopted an absolutely wrong and harmful decision to ban men from leaving the country. In his view, these men are unable to communicate with their families, which leads to family separations and harms demographics. On the one hand, the ideologist notes, politicians say that the birth rate needs to increase; on the other hand, they adopted a decision that causes Ukrainian families to break apart.

“Three years ago, I said that the weighted average scenario (regarding the duration of the war) was 15 years, based on the biological life expectancy of that reptile Putin. It’s a biological and mathematical analysis of how long he could live on average. We want him to die not even tomorrow but today, yet Putin could live to be 100, like Kissinger. Since then, there have been countless forecasts from our well-known political analysts, experts, and politicians that the war would end in six months…,” Oles Doniy concludes.

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