We Must Wait for an Economic Collapse — It Is Inevitable, Journalist Says About the Fall of Putin’s Regime

Journalist Arkady Babchenko explained why infighting among Kremlin factions will not create a pre-revolutionary situation in Russia and assessed what could realistically undermine Putin’s regime, Politeka reports.

He spoke about this on Valeriy Savchuk’s авторская program “Different People.”

According to the guest, Ukrainians live in a free country and therefore tend to attribute political agency to the Russian people—something they do not actually possess. In his view, there is no unified “Russian people” as a political nation; rather, it is an atomized population that, while having grievances against the authorities, is generally satisfied with the situation overall.

“Collapse is inevitable at some point. All such regimes eventually fall. The Soviet Union collapsed in the end. Right now, Russia is only beginning to move from NEP toward war communism. From the NEP to 1991 took 70 years. Now processes are accelerating, so it will happen faster, but the catharsis has not yet occurred. So far, there has been neither economic nor military collapse. History shows that what’s needed is a lost war—for the Russian Empire, the Third Reich, and the Japanese Empire. It takes a serious military defeat,” Babchenko explains.

He adds that many now say Trump bombing Iran would be a lesson for Putin, but the problem is that Russia is not Iran in terms of size or resources. Iran, he emphasizes, is largely desert, whereas Russia has the full range of natural resources, a complete production cycle, half of everything it needs domestically, and nuclear weapons.

“Therefore, even if Putin decides to attack NATO, to move into Estonia—and even if NATO still exists and Article 5 works, even if some Paul from Grenoble and Jean from Portugal decide to fight for Narva, even if NATO acts as a united alliance to help Estonia—the war would still take place exclusively on Estonian territory. Once the aggressor is pushed back across the border, no one will bomb Moscow, no one will try to break into Putin’s bunker. Of course, they might strike logistics in border regions—Pskov, Belgorod, Bryansk… They’ve been bombed for five years already, and no one really cares. So we have to wait for an economic collapse—it is inevitable. The only question is timing: 70 years, 20 years… I don’t believe in five, but it’s a matter of decades,” Babchenko concludes.

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