International Political Analyst Explains Why Ending the War in the Middle East Is Easier Than Ending the War Between Ukraine and Russia

Donald Trump, war in Ukraine

International political analyst Maksym Yali assessed whether the ceasefire in the Middle East could become the starting point for Donald Trump's future successes, particularly in the context of the Russia–Ukraine war, reports Politeka.
He shared his thoughts in a blog post.

“It’s clear that Israel did not achieve all its objectives. Israel wanted the U.S. to continue its involvement in the war against Iran on its side. Accordingly, Trump had to exert serious effort, primarily by pressuring Israel,” Maksym Yali stated.

However, he pointed out that Israel is heavily dependent on the United States in terms of military capabilities and could not independently accomplish its goals—namely, destroying Iran’s nuclear program and toppling the ayatollah’s regime. Thus, the expert concluded, Israel realized that achieving these goals was currently impossible, and therefore agreed to a ceasefire.

Although, he noted, for a while the war in the Middle East bore a strong resemblance to the Russia–Ukraine war—with Putin’s short-lived ceasefires repeatedly broken by Russia, prompting Ukrainian responses—overall, the intensity of shelling gradually decreased. According to Yali, the situation between Israel and Iran was in some ways similar, but now it is stabilizing and is likely to end with a full ceasefire.

“Moreover, it's much easier for them to achieve this than it is for Ukraine and Russia because there are no ground operations involved—the war is happening entirely in the air. That makes it much easier to track and to determine who violated the ceasefire. And given the significant leverage the United States has—especially over Israel, which initiated the war—I believe a complete ceasefire will be achieved and possibly the groundwork laid for future victories,” Maksym Yali concluded.
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