No one has yet fully recognized the status of the USA as a mediator - a political scientist on peace negotiations

Donald Trump, war in Ukraine

Political scientist Ruslan Bortnyk explained the role of the USA at the negotiating table between Ukraine and Russia: allies, mediators, opponents or trade representatives, reports Politeka.

He told about this in his blog.

As the expert explains, Ukraine wants to see the U.S. as an ally, not an intermediary, and Russia does not consider the U.S. a sufficiently equidistant player for it to be a full-fledged mediator. According to him, Russia is offering the USA a Cold War-style treaty, in which Washington is still an opponent, although relations with Moscow are changing under the Trump administration, but most importantly, it will divide the spheres of influence.

"The problem is that no one has yet fully recognized the status of the US as a mediator anywhere. And this applies not only to Europe, but also to the Middle East, for example. That is why American efforts aimed at settlement in Israel and elsewhere are failing so far. I think that the USA will not be able to be a mediator. And since they do not want to be an ally and cannot be a mediator, they will be something third," Ruslan Bortnyk argues.

In his opinion, the US will rather be a commercial representative, that is, it will maintain its presence, trade in weapons, technologies, and conclude resource deals, even calling itself an intermediary.

"On the one hand, this, of course, will further cause discontent in Moscow, because there will be arms deliveries. Either tanks from Australia, or F-16s from Norway, but deliveries will go if they are paid for by the national governments of Europe or other allies of Ukraine. On the other hand, this will, of course, cause dissatisfaction in both Ukraine and Europe, since it is extremely difficult to find money to fully buy everything in the USA. We were talking about hundreds of billions of dollars spent in 3 years of war. Even if $50 billion per hour is needed, and the last package of military aid for Ukraine was worth $60 billion, it will be extremely difficult to find it somewhere in European treasuries, Ruslan Bortnyk concludes.

Latest news:

Let's remember Politeka wrote, War in Ukraine: expert talks about the problems of the Russian army and the situation on the front.

Politeka also informed, The Armed Forces of Ukraine have begun to create "drone lines" with a 50-kilometer strike zone: Russian troops will not be able to launch offensives.

In addition, Politeka informed, Trump changes strategy: expert reveals how the US will achieve peace in Ukraine.


“Trump found the weak spot”: expert assessed whether hatred really prevents peace talks

Experience, air defense and EW: expert says partners should cooperate more with Ukraine after Shahed attack on Poland

"They are trying to deceive us, and we – them": expert assesses the situation at the front

"The Real Negotiation Track Has Narrowed Down Significantly": Expert Assesses Whether Trump's Strategy Has Borne Fruit

By the end of autumn, Russia will no longer have an adequate response to Ukraine – Piotr Kulpa on the “Flamingo” missile

"Putin May Take Advantage of This": Expert Explains Why NATO Won’t Respond to the Shahed Attack on Poland

The Ukrainian Armed Forces Will Train Polish Troops to Shoot Down Russian UAVs: Expert Speaks of New Alliances

Coercive Strikes for Peace: Expert Explains Why Russia Hit the Cabinet of Ministers and the Bridge Across the Dnipro

Expert Explains Polish President’s Historical Remarks Toward Ukraine: “It’s Politics”

Article 4 Is Just About Consultations on What to Do Next – Political Strategist on NATO's Response to the Shahed Attack on Poland

“Europe feels unsafe”: expert explains why right-wing elites are gaining popularity

"One shot can lead to a large-scale war": expert explained how Russia is undermining the West from within

"The West is not ready to talk with Moscow now": expert explains why peace negotiations are not moving forward

“Otherwise Russia will be at the gates of Warsaw” – expert says it’s time for Poland and Ukraine to unite

Ministry of War: Expert Explains Whether This Is Trump’s Whim or Preparation for War

The Kremlin may stage provocations during these exercises and test NATO’s response – expert on “Zapad-2025”

Ukrainian Forces Continue Counterattacks – Expert Explains What Is Happening in Donetsk Region

“Ceasefire – then troops”: Expert says the Coalition of the Willing’s stance is too cautious

“The SCO of Evil has come out of the shadows”: expert explains what Putin and Xi agreed on in Tianjin

Show more