The negotiation process and military actions will march in step without interruption, - political scientist
Political scientist Ruslan Bortnik explained that at least until the fall of 2025, the negotiations and war will continue as they are now, and the United States does not see how to end the war until the parties are exhausted, Politeka reports.
He wrote about this in his blog.
"Trump began to make very interesting and painful comparisons. He began to compare the Russian-Ukrainian war with a fight between two children, thus actually normalizing the situation and aligning the positions of Ukraine and Russia in this situation," Ruslan Bortnik emphasizes.
That is, the expert explains, in Trump's opinion, if the children do not want to stop the fight, and it is not possible to separate them, then it is better to give them the opportunity to continue fighting until the moment when they are ready to stop. Such rhetoric of Trump, he reasons, looks like a normalization of the situation and an agreement to continue the war.
Until this point, the expert says, the US had indeed kept Russia in a situation of strategic uncertainty, creating space for both pressure and dialogue, a classic gray zone and crisis management, when steps are deliberately not finalized in order to maintain flexibility. However, he notes, the Ukrainian operation "Web" has obviously changed all this.
"The most likely scenario in the short-term prospects of the war in Ukraine remains inertial. The negotiation process and military actions will march in step without interruption, but also without a final result. Such dynamics, unfortunately, may persist at least until the fall of 2025, when the current tactical trends on the battlefield and in politics may transform into a strategic advantage, leading to the formation of directive negotiation models. Negotiations may be conducted in different formats, and the parties will continue to increase pressure, using military successes and international contacts as an element of bargaining," concludes Ruslan Bortnik.
Latest news:
Let's remember Politeka wrote, War in Ukraine: expert talks about the problems of the Russian army and the situation on the front.
Politeka also informed, The Armed Forces of Ukraine have begun to create "drone lines" with a 50-kilometer strike zone: Russian troops will not be able to launch offensives.
In addition, Politeka informed, Trump changes strategy: expert reveals how the US will achieve peace in Ukraine.