"Postponing the War to 2026": Expert Assesses Scenarios for the Frontline Developments
Political expert and serviceman Oleksandr Musiienko stated that Russia will not engage in genuine peace negotiations until it fully captures the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, according to Politeka.
He shared this in his blog.
According to the expert, the goal of Russian forces now is not only to take Pokrovsk; they are also advancing in the north of Donetsk region, in the Lyman direction, where they have achieved tactical gains, as well as in the area near Kostiantynivka. In other words, he notes, the enemy’s objective is to fully occupy Donetsk and Luhansk regions by late autumn, or by the end of the year at the latest, and to advance along the line of contact as far as possible.
"Putin has such a plan — to seize as much Ukrainian territory as possible, especially positions that are advantageous from a tactical military standpoint, and to create buffer zones. That’s why Russian forces are present in the Sumy and Kharkiv regions. And Russia would like to expand that presence as much as possible, of course, in order to pose new threats there," adds Oleksandr Musiienko.
According to the expert, Russia is counting on beginning genuine negotiations about a possible freeze of the war along the current front line only after the full capture of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, with a deadline set for mid-autumn. Most likely, he notes, the enemy will stick to this scenario.
"Another scenario is postponing the war into 2026. That’s also on the table, because Russia, as we can see, is not stopping the war despite ultimatums from President Trump and the West. However, one of the more likely scenarios still involves getting on some kind of negotiation track by the end of this year. At the same time, this will only be possible if Ukrainian forces continue holding off the enemy at the current level and continue destroying enemy troops in the same numbers," concludes Oleksandr Musiienko.
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