40 kilometers in four years: expert explains the real extent of Russian advances on the front

Political technologist Mikhail Sheitelman explained that despite Russia’s terror against Ukraine’s rear and threats to Pokrovsk, Russia’s real “successes” lie in the fact that for almost four years it has been advancing very slowly while losing many people, Politeka reports.
He discussed this on his blog.

“They think we have only until February 1 to live — that’s the phrase BBC puts in its headline. BBC also describes the general situation both in the rear and at the front. They write: ‘If we survive until April 1, we will win the war.’ What a quote, huh? And the subheading: ‘How Ukraine can survive another freezing winter as Russia intensifies its attacks.’ This is a statement by some, as I understand it, unnamed Ukrainian official. If we survive until April 1, we will win the war… They in the West certainly have some, to put it mildly, distorted ideas about us,” notes Mikhail Sheitelman.

It all starts, he says, with lyrical depictions of how the electricity is shut off, the elevator doesn’t work, there’s no gas, battery packs are expensive, children play by candlelight, and how frightening it is to go to a shelter with a child during nighttime explosions. But it is actually good that Western readers are shown how hard things are in Ukraine. And then, the expert continues, the article goes on to say that the news from the front is not cheerful: Pokrovsk may fall, diplomatic efforts have stalled, Europe may not provide funding, and so on.

On the other hand, he notes, BBC also writes something very interesting: it turns out that since 2022 Russian forces have advanced 40 km from the line of contact — at the cost of hundreds of thousands of lives.

“So is this what you call the great victories of the great Russia, the second army in the world — 40 kilometers? During World War II armies advanced 40 kilometers in a day, and here it’s 40 in 4 years. Let’s do the math. The Russian army, having lost a million or however many, advanced 40 km in 4 years. That’s 10 km a year, 800 meters a month. Divide by 30 days — that’s 25 meters a day. So every day they reach from one utility pole to the next. And so it goes for 4 years. This is basically Achilles and the tortoise, right? Will Achilles ever catch the tortoise? If you read to this point, it becomes clear what Russia’s actual successes are,” comments Mikhail Sheitelman.

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