Spring-Summer Campaign: Expert Reveals Where Russia’s Main Offensive Will Be
Political expert and serviceman Oleksandr Musiienko spoke about the enemy’s increased activity on the frontline and the possible direction of Russia’s main offensive, as reported by Politeka.
He shared this information in his blog.
"Maximum measures have been taken to prevent the enemy from breaking through deep into Sumy region and threatening the regional center. The same applies to Kharkiv region. That is why the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue operations in Russia’s Kursk and Belgorod regions, inflicting losses on the enemy there and taking preventive actions to ensure Russia no longer has the strength and resources to launch an invasion from these areas. Indeed, there are reports that certain enemy groups are entering Sumy region, but they are being destroyed, not allowed to gain a foothold, and this mostly concerns the so-called ‘gray zone’ rather than occupied territories," Musiienko explains.
In his opinion, the main direction of Russia’s offensive in the spring-summer campaign will be in Donetsk region, specifically the Lyman direction, with an aim to reach the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration. This, the expert notes, is why there is increased enemy activity in the Oskil area of Kharkiv region—Russian forces are trying to cross to the right bank, while the Kupiansk direction is merely a distraction to pull Ukrainian forces to the flank.
As for Pokrovsk, he speculates that Russia’s goal here may be to cross into Dnipropetrovsk region, using this for propaganda purposes, information-psychological operations (IPSO), pressure, panic, and demoralization.
"Regarding Zaporizhzhia and the broader southern directions, these will most likely remain secondary fronts, aimed at diverting the attention of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, stretching our forces, and tying them down in areas not connected to the main direction of the offensive, which is Donetsk. The enemy will try to stretch its presence and create the impression and illusion of attacks along the entire front line. And this isn’t the worst-case scenario for us, because it also prevents the enemy from fully concentrating a strike force, a mass of power that could otherwise move in greater scale toward specific directions," Musiienko concludes.
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